Skip Navigation
Skip to contents

JPMPH : Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health


Author index

Page Path
HOME > Browse Articles > Author index
Natalya Glushkova 1 Article
Anticipating the Need for Healthcare Resources Following the Escalation of the COVID-19 Outbreak in the Republic of Kazakhstan
Yuliya Semenova, Lyudmila Pivina, Zaituna Khismetova, Ardak Auyezova, Ardak Nurbakyt, Almagul Kauysheva, Dinara Ospanova, Gulmira Kuziyeva, Altynshash Kushkarova, Alexandr Ivankov, Natalya Glushkova
J Prev Med Public Health. 2020;53(6):387-396.   Published online October 5, 2020
  • 5,923 View
  • 263 Download
  • 15 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDF
The lack of advance planning in a public health emergency can lead to wasted resources and inadvertent loss of lives. This study is aimed at forecasting the needs for healthcare resources following the expansion of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in the Republic of Kazakhstan, focusing on hospital beds, equipment, and the professional workforce in light of the developing epidemiological situation and the data on resources currently available.
We constructed a forecast model of the epidemiological scenario via the classic susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) approach. The World Health Organization’s COVID-19 Essential Supplies Forecasting Tool was used to evaluate the healthcare resources needed for the next 12 weeks.
Over the forecast period, there will be 104 713.7 hospital admissions due to severe disease and 34 904.5 hospital admissions due to critical disease. This will require 47 247.7 beds for severe disease and 1929.9 beds for critical disease at the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak. There will also be high needs for all categories of healthcare workers and for both diagnostic and treatment equipment. Thus, Republic of Kazakhstan faces the need for a rapid increase in available healthcare resources and/or for finding ways to redistribute resources effectively.
Republic of Kazakhstan will be able to reduce the rates of infections and deaths among its population by developing and following a consistent strategy targeting COVID-19 in a number of inter-related directions.


Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Evaluating the Demand for Nucleic Acid Testing in Different Scenarios of COVID-19 Transmission: A Simulation Study
    Yu-Yuan Wang, Wei-Wen Zhang, Ze-xi Lu, Jia-lin Sun, Ming-xia Jing
    Infectious Diseases and Therapy.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID‐19: A systematic review
    Weiwei Zhang, Shiyong Liu, Nathaniel Osgood, Hongli Zhu, Ying Qian, Peng Jia
    Systems Research and Behavioral Science.2023; 40(1): 207.     CrossRef
  • Assessing the medical resources in COVID-19 based on evolutionary game
    Keyu Guo, Yikang Lu, Yini Geng, Jun Lu, Lei Shi, Alessandro Borri
    PLOS ONE.2023; 18(1): e0280067.     CrossRef
  • Restenosis of Coronary Arteries in Patients with Coronavirus Infection: Case Series
    Gulnara Batenova, Lyudmila Pivina, Evgeny Dedov, Altay Dyussupov, Zhanar Zhumanbayeva, Yerbol Smail, Tatyana Belikhina, Laura Pak, Diana Ygiyeva, Bruno Megarbane
    Case Reports in Medicine.2023; 2023: 1.     CrossRef
  • Is It Possible to Predict COVID-19? Stochastic System Dynamic Model of Infection Spread in Kazakhstan
    Berik Koichubekov, Aliya Takuadina, Ilya Korshukov, Anar Turmukhambetova, Marina Sorokina
    Healthcare.2023; 11(5): 752.     CrossRef
  • Factors Influencing Antibiotic Consumption in Adult Population of Kazakhstan
    Nazym Iskakova, Zaituna Khismetova, Dana Suleymenova, Zhanat Kozhekenova, Zaituna Khamidullina, Umutzhan Samarova, Natalya Glushkova, Yuliya Semenova
    Antibiotics.2023; 12(3): 560.     CrossRef
  • Study of seroprevalence of SARS‐CoV‐2 in Kazakhstan
    Mukhtar Kulimbet, Timur Saliev, Gulzhan Alimbekova, Dinara Ospanova, Kundyzay Tobzhanova, Dariga Tanabayeva, Baurzhan Zhussupov, Ildar Fakhradiyev
    Epidemiology and Infection.2023;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Editorial: Public health challenges in post-Soviet countries during and beyond COVID-19
    Natalya Glushkova, Yuliya Semenova, Antonio Sarria-Santamera
    Frontiers in Public Health.2023;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • The Epidemiological and Economic Impact of COVID-19 in Kazakhstan: An Agent-Based Modeling
    Berik Koichubekov, Aliya Takuadina, Ilya Korshukov, Marina Sorokina, Anar Turmukhambetova
    Healthcare.2023; 11(22): 2968.     CrossRef
  • Seropositivity of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of Kazakhstan: A Nationwide Laboratory-Based Surveillance
    Yuliya Semenova, Zhanna Kalmatayeva, Ainash Oshibayeva, Saltanat Mamyrbekova, Aynura Kudirbekova, Ardak Nurbakyt, Ardak Baizhaxynova, Paolo Colet, Natalya Glushkova, Alexandr Ivankov, Antonio Sarria-Santamera
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.2022; 19(4): 2263.     CrossRef
  • The lessons of COVID-19, SARS, and MERS: Implications for preventive strategies
    Yuliya Semenova, Varvara Trenina, Lyudmila Pivina, Natalya Glushkova, Yersin Zhunussov, Erlan Ospanov, Geir Bjørklund
    International Journal of Healthcare Management.2022; 15(4): 314.     CrossRef
  • Coronary Heart Disease and Coronavirus Disease 2019: Pathogenesis, Epidemiology, Association with Myocardial Revascularization
    Gulnara Batenova, Evgeny Dedov, Maksim Pivin, Igor Nikitin, Olga Ettinger, Yerbol Smail, Diana Ygiyeva , Lyudmila Pivina
    Open Access Macedonian Journal of Medical Sciences.2022; 10(F): 319.     CrossRef
  • Impact of the SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak on the Epidemiology and Treatment Outcomes of Fractures of the Proximal Femur in Kazakhstan
    Bekzat Beisenov, Maksut Kulzhanov, Tatyana Popova, Assel Yermekbayeva, Nurlat Beikutuly, Kanat Tezekbayev, Shynar Tanabayeva, Ildar Fakhradiyev
    Experimental and Applied Biomedical Research (EABR).2022;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Clinical characteristics and risk factors for disease severity and mortality of COVID-19 patients with diabetes mellitus in Kazakhstan: A nationwide study
    Azhar Dyusupova, Raida Faizova, Oksana Yurkovskaya, Tatiana Belyaeva, Tatiana Terekhova, Amina Khismetova, Antonio Sarria-Santamera, Dmitry Bokov, Alexandr Ivankov, Natalya Glushkova
    Heliyon.2021; 7(3): e06561.     CrossRef
  • Comparative Analysis Of Triage Systems At Emergency Departments Of Different Countries: Implementation In Kazakhstan
    Lyudmila Pivina, Assylzhan M. Messova, Yersin T. Zhunussov, Zhanar Urazalina, Zhanna Muzdubayeva, Diana Ygiyeva, Murat Muratoglu, Gulnara Batenova, Sharbanu Uisenbayeva, Yulia Semenova
    Russian Open Medical Journal.2021;[Epub]     CrossRef

JPMPH : Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health